Rosato (2003) claims to have discredited democratic peace theories. However, the methodological approach adopted by the study cannot reliably generate the conclusions espoused by the author. Rosato seems to misunderstand the probabilistic nature of most arguments about democratic peace and ignores issues that an appropriate research design should account for. Further, the study’s use of case studies and data sets without attention to selection-bias produces examples that actually support theories it seeks to undermine. These problems place in doubt the article’s findings.
Probabilistic Causality, Selection Bias, and the Logic of the Democratic Peace
Related Resources
-
Kazakhstan as a Humanitarian Aid Donor
Insebayeva, Nafissa. 2022. “Kazakhstan as a Humanitarian Aid Donor.” Modernity, Development and Decolonization of Knowledge in Central Asia, 47–64.
- Authors with Diverse Backgrounds
-
From ‘Social Evils’ to ‘Human Beings’: Vietnam’s LGBT Movement and the Politics of Recognition
Phuong, Pham Quynh. 2022. “From ‘Social Evils’ to ‘Human Beings’: Vietnam’s LGBT Movement and the Politics of Recognition.” Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs 41 (3): 422–39.
- Open Source Results
- Authors with Diverse Backgrounds